October is when Tokyo turns to autumn: highs around 22°C, the highest rainfall of the year in the normals, about 235 mm on 10 or 11 days, and the first autumn colour in the mountains at Nikko. Hotels cost more than in summer, at an estimated $185 to $215 on most weeknights.
What You Should Know
- October is comfortable but wet. The WMO's 1991 to 2020 normals give Tokyo afternoons of 22.0°C and nights of 14.8°C, but also 234.8 mm of rain, the highest of any month, on about 10 or 11 days.
- The autumn colour starts in the mountains, not the city. Lake Chuzenji and the Irohazaka road above Nikko usually peak from mid to late October; Tokyo's own ginkgo trees don't turn until late November.
- Hotels jump from September. The hotels in our sample with October 2027 rates asked about 41% more than for September weeknights, though mid-November is dearer still, about 13% above October.
- Sunday and Monday nights are the cheapest. Our estimate puts them at $185 to $195 on most weeks, against $203 to $215 for Tuesday to Thursday and $237 to $246 for Saturdays.
Tokyo in October: The Honest Picture
⭐ Best October window: Sunday, October 17 to Thursday, October 21. Our estimate puts those nights at $191 to $215, the colour at Lake Chuzenji is usually at its best from mid to late October, and the week is clear of the Sports Day holiday weekend, when the roads to Nikko are busiest.
| Factor | Our October Score |
|---|---|
| Weather | 7/10: mild and fresher, but often wet |
| Crowds | 6/10: a busy domestic travel season |
| Prices | 5/10: well above summer, below November |
| Rain (10 = none) | 3/10: the highest monthly rainfall in the normals |
| Typhoons (10 = none) | 7/10: fewer than in September |
| Autumn Colour | 8/10: in the mountains; the city turns in late November |
| Mt Fuji | 6/10: first snow, but still often in cloud |
| Walking & Cycling | 7/10: comfortable temperatures between showers |
| Families | 7/10: mild days and one long weekend |
| Couples | 8/10: day trips, food and bay cruises at dusk |
💰 October 2027 hotel prices (central Tokyo, 3 to 5 stars, in US dollars, estimated):
Sunday to Thursday nights: ~$185–215/night, and ~$232 on Sunday, October 10 before Sports Day · Friday nights: ~$211–219/night · Saturday nights: ~$237–246/night
When we pulled rates on November 3, 2026, only 132 of the hotels in our sample had loaded October 2027 prices, and they lean towards the dearer properties. So each figure is an estimate: the median, across those hotels, of each night's rate divided by the same hotel's September 2027 weeknight rate, applied to the typical September weeknight rate of our full 229-hotel sample, $152. Two adults, one night, before taxes, in Shinjuku, Shibuya, Ginza and Tokyo Station, Asakusa, Ueno and Roppongi and Akasaka. Individual hotels range far wider.
Planning Tokyo for October 2027? It is the start of Tokyo's autumn. The long-term normals give the city 234.8 mm of rain on about 10 or 11 days, afternoons of 22.0°C (72°F) and nights of 14.8°C (59°F), with about 129 hours of sunshine and humidity around 71%. The sun sets at about 5:26 pm on October 1 and 4:48 pm by the end of the month. The weather figures on this page are climate normals; the hotel prices, tour schedules and event dates are for October 2027 specifically.
October has more rain in total than any other month in the normals, but the heat and humidity of summer are gone, and on dry days it is one of the most pleasant months to walk the city. Autumn is also a busy season for Japanese travel, and hotel rates in our sample rose sharply from September.
In our view, October suits travellers who want comfortable weather and the first autumn colour, and who can plan a mountain day trip around the forecast. We'd lean toward the middle of the month for Nikko, toward Sunday and Monday nights for the hotel, and toward late November if the city's own autumn leaves are the point of the trip.
Is October a Good Time to Visit Tokyo?
| If you want... | October |
|---|---|
| Dry, comfortable weather | ⭐⭐⭐ comfortable temperatures, but the year's highest rainfall |
| Fewer crowds | ⭐⭐⭐ busy domestic travel season; one long weekend |
| Lower hotel prices | ⭐⭐ about 41% above September weeknights |
| Autumn colour | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ in the mountains at Nikko, mid to late October |
| Clear views of Mt Fuji | ⭐⭐ better than summer; first snow on the summit |
| Long days outdoors | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ comfortable, but sunset is before 5:30 pm |
- Best dates: October 17 to 21, for Nikko's colour and weeknight rates.
- Avoid if possible: road day trips on the Sports Day weekend, October 9 to 11, and Saturday nights if you are watching the budget.
- Best for: walkers, day-trippers and anyone after the first autumn colour.
Where to Stay on an October Trip to Tokyo
Pick your nights first: by our estimate, Sunday and Monday nights cost $185 to $195 on most weeks, Tuesday to Thursday $203 to $215, Fridays $211 to $219 and Saturdays $237 to $246. The dearest nights were the Sports Day weekend, Saturday, October 9 at about $246 and Sunday, October 10 at about $232; Sports Day itself, Monday, October 11, was the cheapest night of the month at about $185.
Then pick the area, where the gap is wider than in summer. Applying each area's October rise to its September prices, Ueno and Asakusa stay the lowest-priced areas at about $151 and $157 a night, while Shinjuku comes to about $218, Ginza and Tokyo Station $243, Roppongi and Akasaka $254 and Shibuya $264. For our pick, the Nikko day trip, which leaves from Ginza at 7:00 am, a hotel in Ginza or near Tokyo Station saves an early commute. The hotels below span all of these areas.
Compare Live Tokyo Hotel Prices for October
Live rates from our hotel reservation system for a sample three-night stay in October for two adults, so you can see what a October trip costs before you pick tours.
Change the dates at checkout to match your own trip, and book with instant email confirmation.
- Priced for October
- Instant confirmation by email
- Live rates, not brochure prices
- Free cancellation on selected rates
HOTEL GROOVE SHINJUKU, A PARKROYAL Hotel
Rooms from the 18th floor up in the Tokyu Kabukicho Tower, about 700 metres from Shinjuku Station; 9.1 on 3,823 reviews, and its 100 most recent average 9.3, with the views the most praised. There is no real lobby, and Kabukicho's nightlife is right outside.
karaksa hotel premier Tokyo Ginza
In Shimbashi, about 600 metres from Ginza's main crossing and a short walk from the trains, with a free snack lounge; 9.4 on 2,138 reviews, and guests often call the rooms roomy for Tokyo. Breakfast is the weak point in recent reviews.
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Hotel Indigo Tokyo Shibuya by IHG
A 5-star tower on Dogenzaka, about 300 metres from Shibuya Crossing, with a rooftop terrace and bar; 9.0 on 1,817 reviews. Ask for a high corner room for the crossing view; several families found the rooms small for three or four.
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hotel MONday Asakusa
A simple 3-star about 300 metres north of Senso-ji and a 3-minute walk from the Tsukuba Express; 9.4 on 2,989 reviews, with the location, staff and cleanliness most praised. The lowest rate on this list in every month we sampled; rooms are tight for three, and check-out is at 10 am.
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hotel MONday Premium Ueno Okachimachi
Next to Naka-Okachimachi Station, about 1 km from Ueno Park and a short walk from the Ameyoko market; 9.4 on 3,310 reviews, and some rooms look out to the Skytree. Rooms are on the small side, and check-out is at 10 am.
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Daiwa Roynet Hotel Nishi-Shinjuku PREMIER
A 4-star in the calmer office district west of Shinjuku, about 1.1 km from the station and a short walk from the subway, with a 7-Eleven downstairs; 8.9 on 6,501 reviews. Compact rooms are the most repeated complaint.
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The Tokyo Station Hotel
Inside the 1914 red-brick Tokyo Station building, with a spa and several restaurants; 9.5 on 2,106 reviews, and the highest recent average on this list at 9.6. By far the dearest hotel here, and some rooms overlook the tracks.
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Estimated nightly rate for 3 nights, Oct 15 – 18, 2027, 2 adults. Final price on Expedia or Booking.com.Room only. Local taxes and fees are added at checkout and can add roughly 20%.
Compare and Book Tokyo Tours in October
These are our Tokyo tours for October 2027: the Nikko day trip, the Shinjuku food tour, a guided walk through the Imperial Palace East Gardens and Orange Tour's yakatabune dinner cruise all have October dates on sale. The small-group bike tour and Japan Panoramic Tours' Mt Fuji and Hakone day trip had not yet opened their October 2027 calendars when we checked. Compare live options below, then book October's pick, the Nikko trip, directly.
Tokyo Weather in October: Cooler, Fresher and Wet
| Metric | October |
|---|---|
| Avg High | 22.0°C (72°F) |
| Avg Low | 14.8°C (59°F) |
| Rainfall | 234.8 mm |
| Rain Days (1 mm or more) | ~10 or 11 |
| Sunshine | About 129 hours |
| Humidity | Moderate (about 71%) |
| Wind | Low |
| Typhoon Risk | Moderate: 1.7 typhoons near Japan in an average October |
Temperature, rainfall, rain-day and sunshine figures are the World Meteorological Organization's 1991 to 2020 climate normals for the Japan Meteorological Agency's Tokyo station (WMO 47662), published by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information. Humidity and cloud cover are the Japan Meteorological Agency's own normals for the same station, and the typhoon figures are the agency's 1991 to 2020 typhoon normals.
Temperature and Humidity
Afternoons average 22.0°C (72°F) and nights 14.8°C (59°F), more than 5°C cooler than September, and humidity falls to about 71%. Early October can still feel warm; by the end of the month you will want a light jacket in the evening.
Rain and Typhoons
October gets 234.8 mm of rain, the highest monthly total in the normals, on about 10 or 11 days with at least 1 mm, no more rainy days than July, so when it rains it tends to rain hard. Typhoon season is winding down: the Japan Meteorological Agency's normals give 1.7 typhoons coming within 300 km of somewhere in Japan in an average October, about half September's figure, and 0.3 making landfall.
Sky, Daylight and Mt Fuji's First Snow
Average cloud cover is 7.1 tenths and sunshine about 129 hours. The days shorten fast: sunrise moves from about 5:35 am to 6:01 am and sunset from 5:26 pm to 4:48 pm. October is also when Mt Fuji usually gets its first snow: the normal date for the first snowcap seen from the Kofu weather office was October 2, though in 2025 it came on October 23, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency's records.
Crowds and Prices in October: Night by Night
We priced the 3- to 5-star hotels with at least 200 reviews in Shinjuku, Shibuya, Ginza and Tokyo Station, Asakusa, Ueno and Roppongi and Akasaka for every night from October 1 to November 1, 2027. Only 132 of them had loaded October 2027 rates on at least 90% of the nights, and those lean towards the dearer hotels: on Wednesday, September 15, the same hotels had a median of $186, against $158 for our full September sample. So the figures below are estimates, built from each hotel's October rates relative to its own September weeknights and scaled to the full sample. All prices are in US dollars for two adults, before taxes.
- October 1 to 2: about $211 on Friday and $237 on Saturday, October 2.
- October 3 to 9: $189 to $209 from Sunday to Thursday, $213 on Friday and $246 on Saturday, October 9, the start of the Sports Day weekend and the dearest night of the month.
- October 10 to 16: $232 on Sunday, October 10, then $185 on Sports Day, Monday, October 11, the cheapest night of the month, and $203 to $211 from Tuesday to Thursday; $214 on Friday and $241 on Saturday.
- October 17 to 23: $191 to $215 from Sunday to Thursday, $217 on Friday and $241 on Saturday.
- October 24 to 31: $189 to $212 from Sunday to Thursday, $219 on Friday, $243 on Saturday, October 30, and $191 on Sunday, October 31. November 1 was about $210.
Most people don't realize how steep the step from September is: hotel by hotel, October's rates averaged about 41% above the same hotels' September weeknights. The same hotels' quotes for Wednesday, November 18, 2026 were a median 13% above their October average, while Wednesday, July 14 was 31% below, Wednesday, August 18 34% below and Wednesday, September 15 29% below. The typical Friday or Saturday came to about $228, against $205 for the other nights. Areas differ too: applying each area's October rise to its September prices gives about $151 a night in Ueno, $157 in Asakusa, $218 in Shinjuku, $243 in Ginza and Tokyo Station, $254 in Roppongi and Akasaka and $264 in Shibuya.
How Much Does a Tokyo Trip Cost in October 2027?
These are the costs we measured for October 2027, in US dollars. Hotel rates are per room for two adults, before taxes, and are estimates (see above); tour prices are per person.
| Expense | Approximate cost (USD) |
|---|---|
| Central Tokyo hotel, Sunday to Thursday night | $185–215 per night (estimated); $232 on October 10 |
| Central Tokyo hotel, Friday or Saturday night | $211–246 per night |
| Nikko day trip | From $109 per person; $139 with Toshogu entry; $164 with lunch |
| Shinjuku food tour, 13 dishes and two drinks | $82 per person |
| Imperial Palace East Gardens walking tour | $13 per person |
| Yakatabune dinner cruise | $100 at 4:50 pm, $106 at 7:20 pm |
| Mt Fuji and Hakone day trip with bullet train | $156 per person in September; October 2027 not yet on sale |
An example: three Sunday to Thursday nights at the month's typical weeknight estimate of $205, plus the Nikko trip with Toshogu entry and the Shinjuku food tour for two, comes to about $1,057 before other meals, local transport and taxes. Moving the same stay to Thursday, Friday and Saturday nights would add roughly $40 to $65 at our estimates. Hotels vary far more than the medians: the cheapest hotel in our showcase quoted about $186 a night for mid-October, and the dearest about $575.
Autumn Colour at Nikko and the October Calendar
October's signature draw is the first autumn colour of the year, high in the mountains above Nikko, weeks before Tokyo's own trees turn.
| Place or event | Best timing | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Yumoto Onsen, Oku-Nikko | Early to mid October | Usual timing; the highest area turns first |
| Senjogahara Marshland | Most of October | Usual timing |
| Lake Chuzenji and Kegon Falls | Mid to late October | Usual timing; on our Nikko pick's route |
| Irohazaka road | Mid to late October at the top, early November at the bottom | Usual timing; heavy traffic at weekends |
| Tokyo city (ginkgo and maples) | Late November | Not in October; see our November guide |
| Mt Fuji's first snow | Normal date October 2 | October 23 in 2025 |
| Sports Day | Monday, October 11 | Confirmed: public holiday; long weekend from October 9 |
| Halloween in Shibuya | Sunday, October 31 | No official street event; drinking in the street around Shibuya Station is banned at night |
Nikko timings are the usual pattern described by Japan Guide, not a 2027 forecast; a warm autumn can push colour back by a week or more. Public holidays are from Japan's Cabinet Office, and the Shibuya rules as reported by Tokyo Weekender.
Nikko in October
The colour starts at Yumoto and Senjogahara, the highest parts of Oku-Nikko, and works down past Lake Chuzenji, at about 1,270 metres, and the Irohazaka road to the town. On our pick, the trip from Ginza, you see Toshogu Shrine and the Shinkyo Bridge in the town, which stays mostly green, then drive up the Irohazaka to Kegon Falls and the lake, where the colour is usually best in mid to late October. Autumn weekends bring heavy traffic on that road; a guest on Sunday, October 11, 2026, in the middle of the Sports Day weekend, described more than three hours on the bus, traffic at the lake and a return to Tokyo at 9 pm. Book a weekday. Our Nikko day trip guide compares the other ways to go, and our best day trips from Tokyo guide sets Nikko against Hakone, Kamakura and Mt Fuji.
Halloween
Halloween falls on a Sunday in 2027. Shibuya used to draw huge street crowds, but the ward now discourages gathering and bans street drinking around Shibuya Station at night; costumed nights out are better at bars, clubs and theme parks than on the street.
Rain, Typhoons and Holiday Traffic: What to Watch Out For
Risk level: moderate. Heavy rain is the main risk in October, with a smaller typhoon risk early in the month and busy roads on holiday weekends.
- Rain: 234.8 mm in the normals, the most of any month, on about 10 or 11 days; carry an umbrella and keep one day flexible.
- Typhoons: 1.7 come near Japan in an average October, about half the September figure; book refundable tours.
- Holiday traffic: some of our Fuji pick's October 2026 reviews describe holiday traffic, including a guest on Sports Day, October 12, 2026, who spent about five hours on the road to the first stop and missed the Hakone ropeway. Avoid road day trips on October 9 to 11, 2027, and on autumn weekends in general.
- Cloud: about 13 of the Fuji tour's 87 October 2026 reviews mention cloud, fog or not seeing the mountain.
- Short days: sunset is at 4:48 pm by October 31, so plan day trips to finish their outdoor stops by mid-afternoon.
- Tours not yet on sale: the Fuji day trip and the bike tour had not opened their October 2027 calendars when we checked.
Alternatives on a wet day: the Shinjuku food tour, museums in Ueno Park, department-store food halls or an indoor class; our craft workshop guide compares options.
The Best Things to Do in Tokyo in October, Ranked
| # | Activity | Our October Score | Best Time of Day | Notes (prices in USD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikko day trip | 9/10 | From 7:00 am, on a weekday | From $109; every day; colour mid to late October |
| 2 | Shinjuku food tour | 8/10 | Evening | $82; every day; good in the rain |
| 3 | Imperial Palace East Gardens walk | 8/10 | Morning | $13; no Mondays or Fridays |
| 4 | Yakatabune dinner cruise | 8/10 | 4:50 pm, into sunset | $100 to $106; every day |
| 5 | Small-group bike tour | 7/10 | Morning, about 6 hours | $104 in earlier months; October 2027 not yet on sale |
| 6 | Mt Fuji and Hakone day trip | 6/10 | From 7:20 am, on a weekday | $156 in September; October 2027 not yet on sale |
Ranked by our own score of how well each activity suits October's conditions, out of 10. Guest ratings out of 5 are quoted separately below.
1. The Nikko day trip: October's pick
The trip leaves Ginza at 7:00 am or 9:00 am every day in October for about 11 hours, with Toshogu Shrine, Kegon Falls and Lake Chuzenji, and a guide who works in English and Spanish. It costs $109 for the 7:00 am departure without the Toshogu ticket, $139 with it and $164 with lunch as well; the 9:00 am departures cost $10 to $20 more. Guests rate it 4.8 out of 5 across 2,192 reviews, and its 13 October 2026 reviews average 4.69. The two 3-star reviews came from a guest who found the guide's English hard to follow in a mostly Spanish-speaking group, and from a guest stuck in Sports Day weekend traffic. We'd book the 7:00 am departure on a weekday between October 12 and 29, take the Toshogu option, and note where the bus is parked, as one guest advised. Our Nikko day trip guide compares the alternatives.
2. The Shinjuku food tour
The tour costs $82 for 13 dishes at four eateries with two drinks, every day, with evening starts. Its 90 October 2026 reviews average 4.63. See our Shinjuku food tour guide.
3. The Imperial Palace East Gardens walk
The two-hour walk costs $13, with 22 October dates. Its 19 October 2026 reviews average 4.68; the one 1-star came from a guest who expected to see the palace itself, which the walk does not enter. See our Imperial Palace tour guide.
4. The yakatabune dinner cruise
Orange Tour's yakatabune sails at 4:50 pm and 7:20 pm every day, for about $100 and $106. Its 12 October 2026 reviews average 4.83, and one guest recommended the sailing before sunset, so you see the bay in daylight and after dark; in October the 4:50 pm sailing leaves around sunset. See our Tokyo Bay dinner cruise guide.
5 and 6. The bike tour and Mt Fuji
October is one of the best months of the year to cycle the city, and all three of the bike tour's October 2026 reviews gave five stars, but its October 2027 calendar was not yet open when we checked. Japan Panoramic Tours' Fuji day trip was not on sale for October 2027 either; its 87 October 2026 reviews average 4.47. See our bike tour and Mt Fuji guides.
Our Take
The pattern we keep seeing is that October trips go well when the mountain day is on a weekday and the hotel nights lean towards Sunday and Monday. The weather is the most comfortable since spring, but it rains hard when it rains, so keep one day free to move things around.
Tips for Visiting Tokyo in October
- Book Nikko on a weekday in mid to late October. That is when the lake usually peaks, and weekends bring heavy traffic on the Irohazaka.
- Stay Sunday and Monday nights where you can. Our estimate puts them at $185 to $195 on most weeks, against $237 to $246 on Saturdays.
- Avoid road day trips on October 9 to 11. It is the Sports Day weekend.
- Book hotels early. Autumn is a busy domestic travel season, and many hotels had not yet released October 2027 rates when we checked.
- Pack a light jacket and an umbrella. Evenings are cooler by late October, and rain totals are the highest of the year.
- Don't expect leaves in the city yet. Tokyo's ginkgo trees usually turn in late November.
- Visiting at a different time of year? Our Tokyo in September guide covers the sumo tournament and much lower hotel rates, and our Tokyo in November guide covers the city's own autumn leaves and the clearest Fuji views.
How We Put This Guide Together
Temperature, rainfall, rain-day and sunshine figures are the World Meteorological Organization's 1991 to 2020 climate normals for the Japan Meteorological Agency's Tokyo station (WMO 47662), as published by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information; humidity and cloud cover are the Japan Meteorological Agency's own 1991 to 2020 normals for the same station, the typhoon figures are the agency's 1991 to 2020 typhoon normals, and the Mt Fuji first-snow dates are from the agency's records. Sunrise and sunset times are calculated for central Tokyo. Hotel prices are live rates for 3- to 5-star hotels with at least 200 reviews in Shinjuku, Shibuya, Ginza and Tokyo Station, Asakusa, Ueno and Roppongi and Akasaka on every night from October 1 to November 1, 2027, pulled on November 3, 2026. Only 132 hotels had loaded October 2027 rates on at least 90% of the nights, so each night's figure is an estimate: the median of each hotel's October rate relative to its own September 2027 weeknight rate, applied to the typical September weeknight rate of our full 229-hotel September sample. Comparisons use the same hotels' quotes for November 18, 2026 and July 14, August 18 and September 15, 2027. The hotels in our showcase passed a separate check of rates in all or all but one of twelve monthly sample stays and a read of their 100 most recent reviews. Tour prices and October availability were checked against live booking data on the same day, with yen prices converted at that day's rate, and the October detail on our picks comes from reading the October 2026 reviews of the Nikko trip, the Mt Fuji day trip, the Shinjuku food tour, the Imperial Palace walk, the yakatabune cruise and the bike tour, including the critical ones. Nikko colour timings are the usual pattern described by Japan Guide, and the public holidays are from Japan's Cabinet Office.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Tokyo good in October?+
Yes. The summer heat has gone, with highs around 22°C, and the first autumn colour arrives in the mountains at Nikko. The trade-offs are rain, as October has the highest monthly rainfall in the normals, and hotel rates well above summer's.
What is the weather like in Tokyo in October?+
Highs average 22.0°C (72°F) and lows 14.8°C (59°F), based on the WMO's 1991 to 2020 normals for Tokyo. October gets 234.8 mm of rain on about 10 or 11 days with 1 mm or more, with about 129 hours of sunshine and humidity around 71%.
When are the autumn leaves at Nikko?+
Usually from early October at Yumoto and Senjogahara, mid to late October at Lake Chuzenji and Kegon Falls, and from mid October to early November on the Irohazaka road, according to Japan Guide. Tokyo's own ginkgo trees turn later, in late November.
Does it rain a lot in Tokyo in October?+
Yes, in total. October's 234.8 mm is the highest monthly figure in the 1991 to 2020 normals, but it falls on about 10 or 11 days, no more than July, so there are plenty of dry days between heavy showers. Typhoons are less common than in September.
Is October expensive in Tokyo?+
More than summer. Our estimate for central Tokyo hotels in October 2027 is $185 to $215 on most Sunday to Thursday nights and $237 to $246 on Saturdays, about 41% above September weeknights. Mid-November is dearer still, about 13% above October.
What is the best week to visit Tokyo in October?+
October 17 to 21, staying Sunday to Thursday nights, at an estimated $191 to $215. The colour at Lake Chuzenji is usually at its best in mid to late October, and the week avoids the Sports Day weekend.
What are the best things to do in Tokyo in October?+
A weekday day trip to Nikko for the autumn colour, an evening food tour in Shinjuku, a morning walk through the Imperial Palace East Gardens, a yakatabune cruise on Tokyo Bay at sunset and, once its calendar opens, a bike tour of the city.
Is Halloween in Shibuya worth it?+
Not on the street. Shibuya no longer hosts a street party and bans drinking in the street around the station at night. Halloween falls on Sunday, October 31 in 2027; bars, clubs and theme parks are better for a costumed night out.
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